The Truth About the Lottery
A lottery is an arrangement in which prizes are allocated by chance. The practice of using lotteries to allocate property and slaves has roots in ancient history: the Old Testament instructed Moses to divide land among Israel’s tribes by lot; Roman emperors gave away property and slaves at Saturnalian feasts; Benjamin Franklin used a lottery to raise money for cannons to defend Philadelphia against the British in the American Revolution; and Thomas Jefferson tried one in Virginia after his death to pay off his crushing debts. Modern lotteries are typically state-run, though privately run companies also exist. Many states have multiple lotteries and a handful of nations have national lotteries.
In most cases, the prize money for a lottery is generated by ticket sales. Typically, the more tickets sold, the larger the jackpot. The odds of winning the big jackpot are very low, but it’s possible to win a small amount by matching fewer numbers, such as in a five-of-six draw.
The fact that so many people play the lottery is often viewed as a good thing, a sign of a healthy society. But the reality is that most lottery players lose money, and it’s a major source of consumer debt. Americans spend more than $80 billion each year on lotteries, according to a Federal Reserve report. That’s more than $600 per household, which could have been better spent building an emergency fund or paying off credit card debt.
Lottery advertising frequently touts the size of the prize pool, but it rarely places that figure in context of overall state revenues. That misleads people into believing that they’re helping their state’s budget by playing the lottery, and that it’s a painless form of taxation.
Moreover, the vast majority of lottery revenue goes to education, health care and other public services. Only about 16% is dedicated to the jackpot. The remaining amount is paid to winners, who can choose between a lump sum and an annuity payment. While the annuity option has a lower initial payout, it provides a more steady stream of income over three decades. Depending on the jurisdiction and how the prize money is invested, a winner’s eventual total might be less than advertised because of withholdings and interest charges.
Many people pick lottery numbers that have meaning to them, such as their children’s ages or birthdays. Harvard statistics professor Mark Glickman says that’s a mistake, because it increases the likelihood that someone else will have the same number. He suggests selecting random numbers or buying Quick Picks, and avoiding sequences that are repeated by hundreds of other players (e.g., 1-2-3-4-5-6). That way, you’ll have a higher chance of keeping the whole prize if you win. In the end, though, it’s all about luck. But it doesn’t hurt to educate yourself about how the lottery works before you buy a ticket. That way, you’ll be a more informed consumer and might just have more fun playing the game.